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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Hellas Verona logo

Roma
2 - 1
Hellas Verona

Lukaku (19'), Pellegrini (25')
Paredes (41'), Llorente (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Folorunsho (76')
Dawidowicz (52'), Folorunsho (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Roma
Sunday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-1 Empoli
Saturday, January 13 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 3-1 Hellas Verona

Both teams are decimated by absences, but Roma have been freed from the shackles of Jose Mourinho's pragmatic approach and can win over their aggrieved fans with three much-needed points. Verona not only struggle on the road, but their record in Rome is also quite awful. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 68.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.15%) and 3-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawHellas Verona
68.9% (0.13200000000001 0.13) 19.9% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07) 11.19% (-0.06 -0.06)
Both teams to score 41.13% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.9% (0.137 0.14)51.09% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.05% (0.12 0.12)72.95% (-0.12 -0.12)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.21% (0.082999999999998 0.08)13.78% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.9% (0.166 0.17)41.1% (-0.165 -0.16)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.71% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)52.29% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.8% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)86.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Roma 68.9%
    Hellas Verona 11.19%
    Draw 19.9%
RomaDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 14.28% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 14.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.35% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.63% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 3% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.84% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 68.9%
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 2.97% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 19.9%
0-1 @ 4.67% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 11.19%

How you voted: Roma vs Hellas Verona

Roma
83.6%
Draw
7.3%
Hellas Verona
9.1%
55
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Hellas Verona
2-1
Roma
Duda (4'), Ngonge (45+3')
Dawidowicz (64'), Baroni (70')
Hien (84')
Aouar (56')
Dybala (13'), Aouar (62'), Pellegrini (68')
Feb 19, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 31, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Hellas Verona
1-3
Roma
Zaniolo (45+1'), Volpato (88'), El Shaarawy (90+2')
Feb 19, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 26
Roma
2-2
Hellas Verona
Volpato (65'), Bove (84')
Pellegrini (38'), Oliveira (39'), Karsdorp (69')
Mourinho (90+1')
Barak (5'), Tameze (20')
Casale (16'), Gunter (89')
Sep 19, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 4
Hellas Verona
3-2
Roma
Barak (49'), Caprari (54'), Faraoni (63')
Faraoni (30'), Barak (51'), Hongla (83'), Casale (86')
Pellegrini (36'), Ilic (58' og.)
Veretout (18'), Cristante (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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