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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Hellas Verona logo

Roma
2 - 1
Hellas Verona

Lukaku (19'), Pellegrini (25')
Paredes (41'), Llorente (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Folorunsho (76')
Dawidowicz (52'), Folorunsho (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Roma
Sunday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-1 Empoli
Saturday, January 13 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 3-1 Hellas Verona

Both teams are decimated by absences, but Roma have been freed from the shackles of Jose Mourinho's pragmatic approach and can win over their aggrieved fans with three much-needed points. Verona not only struggle on the road, but their record in Rome is also quite awful. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 68.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.15%) and 3-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawHellas Verona
68.9% (0.13200000000001 0.13) 19.9% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07) 11.19% (-0.06 -0.06)
Both teams to score 41.13% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.9% (0.137 0.14)51.09% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.05% (0.12 0.12)72.95% (-0.12 -0.12)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.21% (0.082999999999998 0.08)13.78% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.9% (0.166 0.17)41.1% (-0.165 -0.16)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.71% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)52.29% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.8% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)86.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Roma 68.9%
    Hellas Verona 11.19%
    Draw 19.9%
RomaDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 14.28% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 14.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.35% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.63% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 3% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.84% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 68.9%
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 2.97% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 19.9%
0-1 @ 4.67% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 11.19%

How you voted: Roma vs Hellas Verona

Roma
83.6%
Draw
7.3%
Hellas Verona
9.1%
55
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Hellas Verona
2-1
Roma
Duda (4'), Ngonge (45+3')
Dawidowicz (64'), Baroni (70')
Hien (84')
Aouar (56')
Dybala (13'), Aouar (62'), Pellegrini (68')
Feb 19, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 31, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Hellas Verona
1-3
Roma
Zaniolo (45+1'), Volpato (88'), El Shaarawy (90+2')
Feb 19, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 26
Roma
2-2
Hellas Verona
Volpato (65'), Bove (84')
Pellegrini (38'), Oliveira (39'), Karsdorp (69')
Mourinho (90+1')
Barak (5'), Tameze (20')
Casale (16'), Gunter (89')
Sep 19, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 4
Hellas Verona
3-2
Roma
Barak (49'), Caprari (54'), Faraoni (63')
Faraoni (30'), Barak (51'), Hongla (83'), Casale (86')
Pellegrini (36'), Ilic (58' og.)
Veretout (18'), Cristante (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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