Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Lazio |
27.83% ( -0.03) | 27.02% ( 0) | 45.15% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.14% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.38% ( -0.02) | 56.62% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.41% ( -0.02) | 77.59% ( 0.02) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.18% ( -0.03) | 35.82% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.41% ( -0.04) | 72.59% ( 0.04) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.01% ( 0.01) | 24.99% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.36% ( 0.01) | 59.64% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.83% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 45.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |