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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Atalanta logo

Roma
1 - 1
Atalanta

Dybala (39' pen.)
Mourinho (45+7'), Kristensen (63')
Mourinho (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Koopmeiners (8')
Scalvini (29'), Ruggeri (37'), Ederson (43'), Koopmeiners (55'), Zappacosta (74'), Holm (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-1 Cremonese
Wednesday, January 3 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Sassuolo
Wednesday, January 3 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Roma 1-1 Atalanta BC

 They may not be thrilling to watch, but Roma can certainly grind out results on home turf. Atalanta have not travelled so well this term, but given their improved form, they can hold out for the point that would keep them above their hosts in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
RomaDrawAtalanta BC
49.25% (0.339 0.34) 25.88% (0.065999999999999 0.07) 24.87% (-0.41 -0.41)
Both teams to score 49.09% (-0.574 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75% (-0.563 -0.56)54.24% (0.559 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.36% (-0.471 -0.47)75.64% (0.468 0.47)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)22.05% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.6% (-0.13 -0.13)55.39% (0.127 0.13)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98% (-0.668 -0.67)37.02% (0.664 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.19% (-0.669 -0.67)73.8% (0.66499999999999 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Roma 49.24%
    Atalanta BC 24.87%
    Draw 25.88%
RomaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 12.34% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 9.33% (0.156 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.7% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 49.24%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.16% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.03% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 24.87%

How you voted: Roma vs Atalanta

Roma
51.1%
Draw
32.1%
Atalanta BC
16.8%
137
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Atalanta
3-1
Roma
Pasalic (39'), Toloi (74'), Koopmeiners (84')
Pellegrini (83')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 7
Roma
0-1
Atalanta
Scalvini (35')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 28
Roma
1-0
Atalanta
Abraham (32')
Cristante (9'), Abraham (20'), Mkhitaryan (66'), Kumbulla (69'), Ibanez (85')
Mkhitaryan (90+6')

Malinovskyi (78'), Demiral (86'), de Roon (90+4')
de Roon (90+4')
> Preview
Dec 18, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 18
Atalanta
1-4
Roma
Cristante (45+1' og.)
de Roon (8')
Abraham (1', 82'), Zaniolo (27'), Smalling (72')
Zaniolo (9'), Ibanez (50'), Mancini (74')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Cristante (75')
Calafiori (31'), Villar (47'), Ibanez (90+3')
Ibanez (90+4')
Malinovskyi (26')
Gosens (52')
Gosens (69')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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