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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Atalanta logo

Roma
1 - 1
Atalanta

Dybala (39' pen.)
Mourinho (45+7'), Kristensen (63')
Mourinho (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Koopmeiners (8')
Scalvini (29'), Ruggeri (37'), Ederson (43'), Koopmeiners (55'), Zappacosta (74'), Holm (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 2-1 Cremonese
Wednesday, January 3 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Sassuolo
Wednesday, January 3 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Roma 1-1 Atalanta BC

They may not be thrilling to watch, but Roma can certainly grind out results on home turf. Atalanta have not travelled so well this term, but given their improved form, they can hold out for the point that would keep them above their hosts in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
RomaDrawAtalanta BC
49.25% (0.339 0.34) 25.88% (0.065999999999999 0.07) 24.87% (-0.41 -0.41)
Both teams to score 49.09% (-0.574 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75% (-0.563 -0.56)54.24% (0.559 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.36% (-0.471 -0.47)75.64% (0.468 0.47)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)22.05% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.6% (-0.13 -0.13)55.39% (0.127 0.13)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98% (-0.668 -0.67)37.02% (0.664 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.19% (-0.669 -0.67)73.8% (0.66499999999999 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Roma 49.24%
    Atalanta BC 24.87%
    Draw 25.88%
RomaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 12.34% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 9.33% (0.156 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.7% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 49.24%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.16% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.03% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 24.87%

How you voted: Roma vs Atalanta

Roma
51.1%
Draw
32.1%
Atalanta BC
16.8%
137
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Atalanta
3-1
Roma
Pasalic (39'), Toloi (74'), Koopmeiners (84')
Sep 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 7
Roma
0-1
Atalanta
Scalvini (35')
Mar 5, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 28
Roma
1-0
Atalanta
Abraham (32')
Cristante (9'), Abraham (20'), Mkhitaryan (66'), Kumbulla (69'), Ibanez (85')
Mkhitaryan (90+6')

Malinovskyi (78'), Demiral (86'), de Roon (90+4')
de Roon (90+4')
Dec 18, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 18
Atalanta
1-4
Roma
Cristante (45+1' og.)
de Roon (8')
Abraham (1', 82'), Zaniolo (27'), Smalling (72')
Zaniolo (9'), Ibanez (50'), Mancini (74')
Apr 22, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Cristante (75')
Calafiori (31'), Villar (47'), Ibanez (90+3')
Ibanez (90+4')
Malinovskyi (26')
Gosens (52')
Gosens (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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