We said: Roma 2-0 Hellas Verona
Verona's first task will be surviving the first half: they have conceded the most Serie A goals both in the opening 15 minutes (10) and the first half-hour (25); shipping a league-high 61% of their goals before the break. Though the Gialloblu have certainly tightened up in recent weeks, Roma can still get in front and cruise to a controlled home win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 68.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 11.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.84%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Hellas Verona |
68.69% ( -0.04) | 19.83% ( 0.01) | 11.48% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.22% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.88% ( 0.05) | 50.12% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.92% ( 0.04) | 72.08% ( -0.04) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.46% ( 0) | 13.54% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.38% ( 0.01) | 40.62% ( -0) |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.84% ( 0.09) | 51.16% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.55% ( 0.06) | 85.45% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 13.85% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 13.84% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.84% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 68.68% | 1-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.5% Total : 19.83% | 0-1 @ 4.64% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 11.48% |
