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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico

Roma
2 - 1
Como

Saelemaekers (61'), Dovbyk (76')
Mancini (54'), Cristante (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Da Cunha (44')
Smolcic (12'), Kempf (27'), Caqueret (51'), Fadera (80'), Da Cunha (86'), Vojvoda (88')
Kempf (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 4-0 Monza
Monday, February 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 2-1 Napoli
Sunday, February 23 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-1 Como

In the third of four straight home fixtures, Roma can edge out their ambitious visitors, who have invested heavily and now pose a threat to any Serie A side. The hosts have both found some rhythm up front and conceded the fewest goals this year, so grand master Ranieri should defeat relative rookie Fabregas. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Como had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
RomaDrawComo
64.48% (-0.239 -0.24) 20.79% (0.138 0.14) 14.73% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 48.21% (-0.193 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (-0.39 -0.39)47% (0.387 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75% (-0.363 -0.36)69.24% (0.36 0.36)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.16% (-0.19399999999999 -0.19)13.84% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.79% (-0.385 -0.38)41.21% (0.383 0.38)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.96% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)44.04% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.85% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)80.15% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Roma 64.47%
    Como 14.73%
    Draw 20.79%
RomaDrawComo
1-0 @ 12.05% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 11.91% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.86% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.89% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 64.47%
1-1 @ 9.89% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.098 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 20.79%
0-1 @ 5% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.05% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.05% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 14.73%

How you voted: Roma vs Como

Roma
Draw
Como
Roma
77.7%
Draw
16.0%
Como
6.4%
94
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 16
Como
2-0
Roma
Gabrielloni (90+3'), Paz (90+7')
Goldaniga (45+1'), Belotti (61'), Van Der Brempt (68'), Da Cunha (78'), Lhassine Kone (90'), Gabrielloni (90+6')

Le Fee (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli35238455253077
2Inter Milan35228573334074
3Atalanta BCAtalanta35208771314068
4Juventus351615452322063
5Roma35189850321863
6Lazio35189858451363
7Bologna351614553381562
8Fiorentina351781053351859
9AC Milan351691055391657
10Como35129144548-345
11Torino351014113940-144
12Udinese35128153849-1144
13Genoa35912143043-1339
14CagliariCagliari3589183651-1533
15Parma35614154054-1432
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3595213063-3332
17Lecce3569202457-3327
18VeneziaVenezia35414172849-2126
19Empoli35413182755-2825
20Monza3529242563-3815


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