Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli0 - 1Roma
FT(HT: 0-1)
Soule (1')
We said: Empoli 0-2 Roma
Following four successive home wins, Roma can boost their modest away record by beating lowly Empoli. Even if they make numerous changes, the visitors simply boast too much talent for their injury-hit hosts to handle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.97%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Roma |
15.76% ( -0.06) | 24.51% ( 0.15) | 59.73% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 40.18% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.85% ( -0.57) | 59.14% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.42% ( -0.45) | 79.58% ( 0.44) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.06% ( -0.42) | 49.93% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.39% ( -0.3) | 84.61% ( 0.3) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.27% ( -0.26) | 19.73% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.24% ( -0.42) | 51.76% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
Empoli 15.76%
Roma 59.73%
Draw 24.5%
| Empoli | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 15.76% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.42% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 15.99% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 12.97% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 7.02% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.88% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.85% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 59.73% |
How you voted: Empoli vs Roma
Empoli
16.7%Draw
11.5%Roma
71.8%78
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 7.45pm
May 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Empoli
2-1
Roma
Feb 4, 2023 5pm
Sep 12, 2022 7.45pm
