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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Roma logo

Empoli
0 - 1
Roma

FT(HT: 0-1)
Soule (1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, March 6 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Empoli 0-2 Roma

Following four successive home wins, Roma can boost their modest away record by beating lowly Empoli. Even if they make numerous changes, the visitors simply boast too much talent for their injury-hit hosts to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.97%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
EmpoliDrawRoma
15.76% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 24.51% (0.149 0.15) 59.73% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 40.18% (-0.471 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.85% (-0.571 -0.57)59.14% (0.57 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.42% (-0.445 -0.45)79.58% (0.444 0.44)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.06% (-0.425 -0.42)49.93% (0.424 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.39% (-0.298 -0.3)84.61% (0.295 0.3)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27% (-0.256 -0.26)19.73% (0.255 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.24% (-0.417 -0.42)51.76% (0.417 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 15.76%
    Roma 59.73%
    Draw 24.5%
EmpoliDrawRoma
1-0 @ 6.84% (0.064 0.06)
2-1 @ 3.86% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 15.76%
1-1 @ 11.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.85% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 3.13% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 15.99% (0.22 0.22)
0-2 @ 12.97% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 7.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.88% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.85% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.045 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 59.73%

How you voted: Empoli vs Roma

Empoli
16.7%
Draw
11.5%
Roma
71.8%
78
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Roma
1-2
Empoli
Gyasi (45'), Colombo (61' pen.)
Maleh (26'), Solbakken (58'), Cacace (84')
May 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Empoli
2-1
Roma
Cancellieri (13'), Niang (90+3')
Gyasi (2'), Destro (34'), Marin (81'), Niang (90')
Aouar (45+1')
Costa (90')
Sep 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Roma
7-0
Empoli
Dybala (2' pen., 55'), Sanches (8'), Grassi (35' og.), Cristante (79'), Lukaku (82'), Mancini (86')
Dybala (38'), Sanches (39')

Cancellieri (39'), Maleh (58')
Feb 4, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 21
Roma
2-0
Empoli
Ibanez (2'), Abraham (6')
Sep 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Empoli
1-2
Roma
Dybala (17'), Abraham (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio27155749351450
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese27116103437-339
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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