Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Arechi
We said: Salernitana 1-2 Sassuolo
The visitors are certainly far from their best, and have been throughout the entirety of the Serie A campaign thus far, but even without their talisman Berardi, Sassuolo do have the superior quality to get past the basement side on Friday and take a huge step towards survival with a return to winning ways on Friday.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 42.56% . A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.74%) . The likeliest Salernitana win was 2-1 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%) . The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood .
Result Salernitana Draw Sassuolo 32.74% ( 0.71) 24.71% ( 0.25) 42.56% ( -0.95)
Both teams to score 57.94% ( -0.58)
54.94% ( -0.88) 45.07% ( 0.88)
32.59% ( -0.85) 67.41% ( 0.85)
73.56% ( 0.02) 26.45% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.38% ( 0.02) 61.62% ( -0.01)
78.77% ( -0.8) 21.23% ( 0.8)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.87% ( -1.26) 54.13% ( 1.26)
Salernitana 32.74%
Sassuolo 42.56%
Draw 24.71%
Salernitana Draw Sassuolo 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.21% Total : 32.74% 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.71% 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.56%
How you voted: Salernitana vs Sassuolo
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