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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 2pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
Frosinone logo

Sassuolo
1 - 0
Frosinone

Thorstvedt (58')
Thorstvedt (23'), Doig (32'), Lauriente (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ghedjemis (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-0 Sassuolo
Sunday, March 3 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 1-1 Lecce
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Sassuolo 1-0 Frosinone

The home side could eke out maximum points on Saturday, thus cutting Frosinone's four-point advantage to one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sassuolo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sassuolo.

Result
SassuoloDrawFrosinone
45.19% (0.319 0.32) 24.37% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08) 30.44% (-0.235 -0.23)
Both teams to score 58.07% (0.149 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.57% (0.252 0.25)44.43% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.19% (0.245 0.25)66.8% (-0.241 -0.24)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (0.241 0.24)19.8% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.13% (0.386 0.39)51.86% (-0.383 -0.38)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.4% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)27.59% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.88% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)63.12% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 45.19%
    Frosinone 30.44%
    Draw 24.36%
SassuoloDrawFrosinone
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.17% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.87% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 45.19%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.94% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.36%
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.53% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 30.44%

How you voted: Sassuolo vs Frosinone

Sassuolo
49.1%
Draw
34.0%
Frosinone
17.0%
53
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 4
Frosinone
4-2
Sassuolo
Cheddira (45+4' pen.), Mazzitelli (70', 76'), Lirola (90+6')
Romagnoli (34'), Barrenechea (55'), Caso (80'), Gelli (82')
Pinamonti (7', 24')
Ruan (45+3'), Erlic (80')
May 5, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 35
Sassuolo
2-2
Frosinone
Ferrari (66'), Boga (78')
Bourabia (57'), Locatelli (80')
Sammarco (8'), Paganini (36')
Sammarco (23'), Brighenti (44'), Sportiello (87')
Dec 16, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 16
Frosinone
0-2
Sassuolo

Chibsah (23'), Ciano (57'), Soddimo (90')
Ariaudo (44' og.), Berardi (58')
Rogerio (34'), Sensi (47')
May 8, 2016 2pm
Frosinone
0-1
Sassuolo

Gucher (16'), Kragl (32'), Dionisi (81'), Crivello (86')
Politano (85')
Peluso (14'), Cannavaro (55'), Berardi (81'), Politano (86')
Jan 6, 2016 2pm
Sassuolo
2-2
Frosinone
Defrel (22'), Falcinelli (75')
Pellegrini (32'), Peluso (44')
Pellegrini (93')
Dionisi (16'), Ajeti (45')
Leali (73'), Pavlovic (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15CagliariCagliari132561424-1011
16Genoa132561124-1311
17Como122461323-1010
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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