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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 28, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Udinese logo

Lecce
1 - 0
Udinese

Espeto (62' pen.)
Blin (35'), Espeto (51'), Gonzalez (85'), Ceesay (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bijol (7'), Perez (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, April 23 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 3-0 Cremonese
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-2 Udinese

Battling for their lives at the bottom end of the table, Lecce are expected to put up a decent fight on Friday, but Udinese should have enough quality to inflict an eighth defeat in nine matches on the relegation strugglers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.

Result
LecceDrawUdinese
41.2% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 27.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 31.3% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.45% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.94% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)57.06% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)77.94% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.76% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)27.24% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.33% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)62.67% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)33.41% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.96% (-0.012 -0.01)70.04% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 41.19%
    Udinese 31.3%
    Draw 27.5%
LecceDrawUdinese
1-0 @ 11.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 41.19%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 9.98% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.11%
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 31.3%

How you voted: Lecce vs Udinese

Lecce
27.3%
Draw
16.7%
Udinese
56.1%
66
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 13
Udinese
1-1
Lecce
Beto (68')
Deulofeu (37')
Colombo (33')
Jul 29, 2020 6.30pm
gameweek 37
Udinese
1-2
Lecce
Samir (36')
Sema (86')
Mancosu (40' pen.), Lapadula (81')
Paz (22'), Calderoni (45+1'), Lapadula (82'), Donati (90+3')
Jan 6, 2020 5pm
gameweek 18
Lecce
0-1
Udinese

Liverani (78'), Gabriel (89')
De Paul (88')
De Paul (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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