Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Monza |
35.53% ( -0) | 26.11% | 38.36% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 53.8% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.31% ( 0) | 50.69% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.4% ( 0) | 72.59% ( -0) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.54% ( 0) | 27.46% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.05% ( 0) | 62.95% ( 0) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.17% ( 0) | 25.83% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.2% ( 0) | 60.8% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 5.93% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.95% Total : 35.53% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 9.6% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.43% Total : 38.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
15 | Genoa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 9 |
16 | Como | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |