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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Olimpico
Monza

Roma
1 - 0
Monza

El Shaarawy (90')
Cristante (70'), Mancini (78')
Mourinho (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-0)

D'Ambrosio (23'), Pepin (45+1'), Pepin (45+2'), Palladino (87'), Gagliardini (90+7')
D'Ambrosio (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 1-4 Roma
Sunday, October 8 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 3-0 Salernitana
Sunday, October 8 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-0 Monza

Monza have scored only twice on the road this season - like Roma, they tend to thrive on home soil. Stadio Olimpico is never an easy place to visit, so the Biancorossi's momentum may be checked, as their hosts hand them a first defeat for over a month. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Monza had a probability of 16.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
RomaDrawMonza
63.15% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 20.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 16.48% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.69% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (0.091999999999999 0.09)41.79% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (0.092999999999996 0.09)64.2% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.38% (0.049000000000007 0.05)12.61% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.27% (0.104 0.1)38.73% (-0.103 -0.1)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.44% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)38.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.69% (0.004999999999999 0)75.3% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Roma 63.14%
    Monza 16.48%
    Draw 20.37%
RomaDrawMonza
2-0 @ 10.42%
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 7.19% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.72% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.55% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.54% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 63.14%
1-1 @ 9.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.73%
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.37%
0-1 @ 4.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5%
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 16.48%

How you voted: Roma vs Monza

Roma
86.3%
Draw
10.0%
Monza
3.8%
80
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Monza
1-1
Roma
Caldirola (39')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Roma
3-0
Monza
Dybala (18', 32'), Ibanez (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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