Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Monza had a probability of 16.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Monza |
63.15% ( 0.08) | 20.37% ( -0.04) | 16.48% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.69% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.2% ( 0.09) | 41.79% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.8% ( 0.09) | 64.2% ( -0.09) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.38% ( 0.05) | 12.61% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.27% ( 0.1) | 38.73% ( -0.1) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.44% ( 0.01) | 38.55% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.69% ( 0) | 75.3% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Monza |
2-0 @ 10.42% 1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 63.14% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.37% | 0-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 16.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |