We said: Monza 1-1 Bologna
In a kinder fixture on paper than what Monza have faced often so far this season, the hosts may still find it difficult against a Bologna side that have taken six points despite scoring just three goals.
That efficiency has seen the visitors lose just one of their last 11 competitive matches, and that streak could well continue here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.93) 
1.06) 
