Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Hellas Verona1 - 3Napoli
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Frosinone 2-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Hellas Verona 1-2 Napoli
The last league draw between Verona and Napoli at the Bentegodi came back in April 1988, when none other than Diego Maradona got his name on the scoresheet. While Hellas have not conceded too many goals this term, hopes of holding out for a point on Saturday are likely to be futile, as the champions should be fired up and have plenty to prove - while Simeone may enjoy returning to the site of his former successes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 14.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.67%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Napoli |
14.04% ( -0.1) | 21.21% ( 0.28) | 64.74% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 45.24% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
