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Serie B | Gameweek 30
Mar 17, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Ascoli
4 - 1
Lecco

Caligara (19' pen., 42' pen.), Bellusci (71'), Duris (86')
Zedadka (13'), Falzerano (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lepore (13' pen.)
Lemmens (34'), Guglielmotti (46')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Lecco.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sampdoria 2-1 Ascoli
Monday, March 11 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Lecco 0-1 Palermo
Sunday, March 10 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 50.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Lecco win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.

Result
AscoliDrawLecco
50.97% (-0.814 -0.81) 27.13% (0.315 0.31) 21.89% (0.497 0.5)
Both teams to score 42.71% (-0.226 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.03% (-0.6 -0.6)60.97% (0.599 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.03% (-0.455 -0.45)80.97% (0.453 0.45)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.63 -0.63)24.16% (0.627 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (-0.904 -0.9)58.47% (0.902 0.9)
Lecco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.31% (0.165 0.16)43.69% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.13% (0.138 0.14)79.87% (-0.14 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Ascoli 50.97%
    Lecco 21.89%
    Draw 27.13%
AscoliDrawLecco
1-0 @ 14.99% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.04% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 50.97%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 10.55% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 8.74% (0.233 0.23)
1-2 @ 5.14% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.113 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.01%
0-3 @ 1% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 21.89%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 10
Lecco
0-2
Ascoli

Crociata (16'), Sersanti (51'), Buso (90')
Nestorovski (35'), Quaranta (55')
Caligara (31'), Falzerano (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1SassuoloSassuolo31226367283972
2Pisa31196653282563
3SpeziaSpezia311413445232255
4Cremonese311310850351549
5CatanzaroCatanzaro31101654133846
6Juve StabiaJuve Stabia31121093736146
7Palermo31119113832642
8Cesena31119114039142
9BariBari3181673330340
10Modena3181493837138
11Carrarese3199133241-936
12FrosinoneFrosinone31812113041-1136
13Brescia31713113440-634
14SudtirolSudtirol3197153949-1034
15Cittadella3197152548-2334
16Mantova31712123646-1033
17Sampdoria31614113444-1032
18Reggiana31711133141-1032
19Salernitana3179152841-1330
20Cosenza CalcioCosenza31611142544-1925


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