Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 67.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 12.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Juve Stabia win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.