Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 49.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 24.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
-0.19) 
0.04) 
