Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 64.48%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Primorje had a probability of 14.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.27%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Primorje win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
0.36) 
-0.76) 
