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Southampton logo
Premier League | Gameweek 29
Mar 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Watford logo

Southampton
1 - 2
Watford

Elyounoussi (45')
Perraud (48'), Romeu (65'), Bednarek (76')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Camilo Hernandez (14', 34')
Camilo Hernandez (60'), Sissoko (86')

Preview: Southampton vs. Watford - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Southampton play host to Watford on Sunday afternoon looking to bounce back from consecutive defeats in the Premier League.

While two losses in succession have left the Saints in 10th position in the standings, the Hornets are down in 19th place after also enduring two setbacks in a row.


Match preview

Southampton manager Ralph Hasenhuttl reacts on March 5, 2022© Reuters

Since the turn of the year, Southampton have been one of the most improved sides in the Premier League, putting together a run of seven wins from 10 games in all competitions until March 2.

However, on the back of a much-changed side defeating West Ham United in the FA Cup, the Saints have produced two below-par performances, succumbing to Aston Villa and Newcastle United respectively.

Southampton could only get better having succumbed 4-0 at Villa, but Ralph Hasenhuttl witnessed his team give up a lead to lose 2-1 at home to the Magpies on Thursday night.

Any European bid via the Premier League is now realistically out of the question, and Hasenhuttl will recognise the importance of getting back on track ahead of next weekend's cup quarter-final at home to Manchester City.

Before the setback earlier this week, Southampton had not lost at St Mary's since a defeat to Wolverhampton Wanderers all the way back on September 26.

 Watford manager Roy Hodgson before the match on February 23, 2022© Reuters

While belief has been drained from this Southampton squad, it is nothing in comparison to Watford who look like they are heading back to the Championship.

Although they still only trail 17th-placed Everton by three points, the Hornets have played three more games and have conceded seven goals in defeats to Arsenal and Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Roy Hodgson was left visibly frustrated as his side went 3-0 down inside 21 minutes in the latter of those fixtures, Watford contributing to their own downfall with an own goal and a glaring error from goalkeeper Ben Foster.

All is not lost for Watford, however, with pivotal matches against relegation rivals still to come, but Hodgson knows that they also face trips to Liverpool, Manchester City and Chelsea.

Southampton emerged victorious from the reverse fixture on October 30, Che Adams scoring the only goal of the game at Vicarage Road.

Southampton Premier League form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L

Southampton form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L

Watford Premier League form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L



Team News

Adam Armstrong celebrate scoring for Southampton on August 14, 2021© Reuters

Hasenhuttl will almost certainly make several changes to his Southampton XI, including in attack where Adam Armstrong could replace either Armando Broja or Adams.

Moussa Djenepo should get the nod on the left flank, while Romain Perraud might be brought in at left-back in place of Tino Livramento or Kyle Walker-Peters.

Nathan Tella could potentially return to the squad after a groin injury.

Jeremy Ngakia may feature at right-back for Watford after a minor hamstring problem, and Christian Kabasele could return in the centre of defence after being introduced as a first-half substitute against Wolves.

Juraj Kucka is an alternative if Hodgson wishes to introduce fresh legs in midfield given the quick turnaround.

Southampton possible starting lineup:
Forster; Livramento, Bednarek, Salisu, Walker-Peters; S. Armstrong, Ward-Prowse, Romeu, Djenepo; A. Armstrong, Adams

Watford possible starting lineup:
Foster; Ngakia, Cathcart, Kabasele, Kamara; Sissoko, Louza, Kucka; Hernandez, Dennis, King


SM words green background

We say: Southampton 2-1 Watford

While Watford are far from being at the point of no return, Hodgson will expect to see a much-improved performance in the search for maximum points. Nevertheless, we feel that the Saints will have too much quality in the final third, edging this contest by the odd goal in three.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Watford had a probability of 18.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Southampton vs Watford

Southampton
92.6%
Draw
5.3%
Watford
2.1%
94
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Southampton's Adam Armstrong is fouled by Manchester City's Kyle Walker in the Premier League on September 18, 2021
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

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Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

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Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

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Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

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Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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