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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 16
Jan 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Vefa Stadi

Karagumruk
4 - 1
Kayserispor

Rohden (23', 38', 41'), Lasagna (52')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Boa Morte (45+2')
Ozbek (57'), Ucar (58'), Ali Kaldirim (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Kayserispor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Samsunspor 1-0 Karagumruk
Saturday, January 6 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 1-3 Sivasspor
Sunday, January 7 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 0-1 Kayserispor

Both Karagumruk and Kayserispor have struggled in front of goal, so we are expecting a low-scoring affair here. That said, we are tipping the visitors to narrowly get the job done in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 22.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawKayserispor
54.79% (0.087000000000003 0.09) 22.95% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 22.27% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.22% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.3% (0.081000000000003 0.08)44.69% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (0.077000000000005 0.08)67.06% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79% (0.057000000000002 0.06)16.2% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.3% (0.107 0.11)45.69% (-0.109 -0.11)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.9% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)34.1% (0.002999999999993 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)70.79% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 54.78%
    Kayserispor 22.27%
    Draw 22.94%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawKayserispor
1-0 @ 10.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 9.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.55% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 54.78%
1-1 @ 10.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.94%
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 22.27%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Kayserispor

Fatih Karagumruk
43.8%
Draw
18.8%
Kayserispor
37.5%
16
Head to Head
May 30, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 36
Karagumruk
2-0
Kayserispor
Frei (16', 28')
Bertolacci (57'), Dresevic (77')

Cardoso (82'), Mensah (86')
Ackah (9')
Jan 4, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Kayserispor
2-4
Karagumruk
Mensah (57' pen.), Parlak (72')
Mercan (1'), Diagne (12', 63'), Shukurov (47')
Mar 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 30
Karagumruk
3-0
Kayserispor
Mor (10', 36', 75')
Biglia (47'), Bekaroglu (69')

Hosseini (56'), Pektemek (81'), Bertolacci (88')
Oct 31, 2021 10.30am
Gameweek 11
Kayserispor
2-1
Karagumruk
Gavranovic (73'), Thiam (90+3')
Bulut (76'), Kemen (86')
Bulut (88')
Bertolacci (23')
Biglia (14'), Viviano (29'), Borini (49')
Luckassen (61')
Mar 19, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 31
Karagumruk
3-0
Kayserispor
Durmaz (33'), Castro (58'), Sobiech (86')
Balkovec (47'), Salibur (54')

Avramovski (28')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CGalatasarayGalatasaray383332922666102
2Fenerbahce38316199316899
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor382141369501967
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul381871357431461
5BesiktasBesiktas38168145247556
6KasimpasaKasimpasa38168146265-356
7SivassporSivasspor381412124754-754
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor381216105350352
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor38148164858-1050
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor381213134449-549
11Adana Demirspor381014145461-744
12GaziantepGaziantep38128185057-744
13Samsunspor381110174252-1043
14KayserisporKayserispor381112154457-1342
15Hatayspor38914154552-741
16KonyasporKonyaspor38914154053-1341
RFatih KaragumrukKaragumruk381010184952-340
RAnkaragucuAnkaragucu38816144652-640
RPendikspor38910194273-3137
RIstanbulspor3847272780-5316


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