MX23RW : Monday, February 3 18:17:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 16
Jan 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Vefa Stadi

Karagumruk
4 - 1
Kayserispor

Rohden (23', 38', 41'), Lasagna (52')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Boa Morte (45+2')
Ozbek (57'), Ucar (58'), Ali Kaldirim (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Kayserispor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Samsunspor 1-0 Karagumruk
Saturday, January 6 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 1-3 Sivasspor
Sunday, January 7 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 0-1 Kayserispor

Both Karagumruk and Kayserispor have struggled in front of goal, so we are expecting a low-scoring affair here. That said, we are tipping the visitors to narrowly get the job done in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 22.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawKayserispor
54.79% (0.087000000000003 0.09) 22.95% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 22.27% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.22% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.3% (0.081000000000003 0.08)44.69% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (0.077000000000005 0.08)67.06% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79% (0.057000000000002 0.06)16.2% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.3% (0.107 0.11)45.69% (-0.109 -0.11)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.9% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)34.1% (0.002999999999993 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)70.79% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 54.78%
    Kayserispor 22.27%
    Draw 22.94%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawKayserispor
1-0 @ 10.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 9.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.55% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 54.78%
1-1 @ 10.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.94%
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 22.27%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Kayserispor

Fatih Karagumruk
43.8%
Draw
18.8%
Kayserispor
37.5%
16
Head to Head
May 30, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 36
Karagumruk
2-0
Kayserispor
Frei (16', 28')
Bertolacci (57'), Dresevic (77')

Cardoso (82'), Mensah (86')
Ackah (9')
Jan 4, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Kayserispor
2-4
Karagumruk
Mensah (57' pen.), Parlak (72')
Mercan (1'), Diagne (12', 63'), Shukurov (47')
Mar 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 30
Karagumruk
3-0
Kayserispor
Mor (10', 36', 75')
Biglia (47'), Bekaroglu (69')

Hosseini (56'), Pektemek (81'), Bertolacci (88')
Oct 31, 2021 10.30am
Gameweek 11
Kayserispor
2-1
Karagumruk
Gavranovic (73'), Thiam (90+3')
Bulut (76'), Kemen (86')
Bulut (88')
Bertolacci (23')
Biglia (14'), Viviano (29'), Borini (49')
Luckassen (61')
Mar 19, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 31
Karagumruk
3-0
Kayserispor
Durmaz (33'), Castro (58'), Sobiech (86')
Balkovec (47'), Salibur (54')

Avramovski (28')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray20173053223154
2Fenerbahce21163255223351
3Samsunspor21124534231140
4EyupsporEyupspor21116434191539
5Goztepe SKGoztepe SK21104740271334
6Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul219573930932
7BesiktasBesiktas208842921832
8KasimpasaKasimpasa2161053740-328
9AlanyasporAlanyaspor217772528-328
10Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor2183102434-1027
11TrabzonsporTrabzonspor2068634241026
12GaziantepGaziantep207582628-226
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor2174102541-1625
14KonyasporKonyaspor216692733-624
15SivassporSivasspor2165102635-923
16KayserisporKayserispor203891939-2017
17Bodrumspor2144131529-1416
18Hatayspor2117132340-1710
19Adana Demirspor2122172050-305


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