Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Torreense had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.59%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Torreense win was 1-0 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.

Result
Torreense	Draw	Casa Pia
33.67% ( 0.12)	29.14% ( -0.11)	37.19% ( -0)

Both teams to score 44.39% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.63% (

0.39)

62.37% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.99% (

0.29)

82.01% (

-0.29)

Torreense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.47% (

0.29)

34.53% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.75% (

0.31)

71.25% (

-0.31)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.8% (

0.2)

32.2% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.31% (

0.23)

68.69% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Torreense 33.67%

Casa Pia 37.19%

Draw 29.13%

Torreense	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.26% Total : 33.67%	1-1 @ 13.39% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.13%	0-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 37.19%