Taca da Liga | First Round

Jul 23, 2023 at 6pm UK

Campo Cruz Do Reguengo

Vilaverdense
0 - 2
Casa Pia

Miguel Perestrelo Alves Silva (29'), Manuel Ribeiro Freitas (47'), Teixeira (70'), Ferreira Viegas (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Clayton (13'), Pinto (35' pen.)
Nunes (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Taca da Liga First Round clash between Vilaverdense and Casa Pia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vilaverdense

Last Game: Vilaverdense 1-4 Belenenses
Wednesday, January 11 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, May 27 at 12.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vilaverdense win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vilaverdense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Vilaverdense	Draw	Casa Pia
38.89% ( -0.33)	26.98% ( 0.08)	34.13% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 50.79% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.56% (

-0.31)

54.44% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.19% (

-0.26)

75.81% (

0.25)

Vilaverdense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.71% (

-0.33)

27.29% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.27% (

-0.43)

62.73% (

0.42)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.85% (

30.15% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.7% (

66.3% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Vilaverdense 38.88%

Casa Pia 34.13%

Draw 26.98%

Vilaverdense	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.04% Total : 38.88%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 34.13%