Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Estoril Praia |
44.56% ( -0.37) | 26.07% ( 0.13) | 29.38% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 51.88% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.76% ( -0.44) | 52.24% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.06% ( -0.38) | 73.94% ( 0.38) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.65% ( -0.36) | 23.35% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.68% ( -0.53) | 57.32% ( 0.53) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.69% ( -0.06) | 32.31% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.19% ( -0.06) | 68.81% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.88% Total : 44.55% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |