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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
May 5, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Portimonense

Casa Pia
1 - 1
Portimonense

Soares (68')
Soares (43'), Lelo (90+7')
(44')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rochez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chaves 1-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, April 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 4-1 Portimonense
Saturday, April 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 1-1 Portimonense

While Casa Pia have suffered defeat in four of their last five matches, Portimonense have lost eight of their previous nine on the road, so we expect Friday's clash to be a cagey encounter as both sides aim to avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawPortimonense
43.64% (0.071999999999996 0.07) 25.36% (0.02 0.02) 30.99% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 54.98% (-0.117 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.4% (-0.134 -0.13)48.6% (0.134 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.28% (-0.122 -0.12)70.72% (0.122 0.12)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)22.23% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.35% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)55.65% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (-0.131 -0.13)29.31% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72% (-0.16 -0.16)65.28% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 43.64%
    Portimonense 30.99%
    Draw 25.36%
Casa PiaDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 9.8% (0.048 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 43.64%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.51% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 30.99%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Portimonense

Casa Pia
64.0%
Draw
24.0%
Portimonense
12.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2022 7pm
gameweek 14
Portimonense
1-2
Casa Pia
Luquinhas (35' pen.)
Estrela (11')
Neto (31' og.), Antoine (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1610061816230
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia166551819-123
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao164751919019
10Rio AveRio Ave165471727-1019
11Gil Vicente164661825-718
12Estrela Amadora164481425-1116
13AVS172961324-1115
14Estoril PraiaEstoril163671426-1215
15AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
16Nacional163491123-1213
17SC FarenseFarense163491123-1213
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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