MX23RW : Friday, November 8 19:48:00| >> :60:25:25:
Oliveirense
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 10, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio de Ribes
Arouca

UD Oliveirense
0 - 3
Arouca


Jaime (11'), Marcelo (33'), Feltes (34'), Kazu (44'), Pisco (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ruiz (5'), Mujica (69'), Bukia (82')
Soro (19'), Quaresma (59')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between UD Oliveirense and Arouca.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-1 UD Oliveirense
Tuesday, November 29 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Leixoes
Sunday, December 4 at 5pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 22.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a UD Oliveirense win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
UD OliveirenseDrawArouca
22.76% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 24.89% (0.0010000000000012 0) 52.35% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 49.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.77% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)52.23% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.06% (0.0040000000000013 0)73.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
UD Oliveirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.16% (0.002999999999993 0)37.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.61%
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)19.93% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    UD Oliveirense 22.76%
    Arouca 52.34%
    Draw 24.89%
UD OliveirenseDrawArouca
1-0 @ 7.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.75%
2-0 @ 3.56%
3-1 @ 1.86%
3-2 @ 1.5%
3-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 22.76%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 7.54%
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 12.16%
0-2 @ 9.81%
1-2 @ 9.53%
0-3 @ 5.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 5.13%
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 2.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 52.34%

How you voted: UD Oliveirense vs Arouca

UD Oliveirense
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
Arouca
80.0%
5
rhs 2.0
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