Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 4, 2022 at 5pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca1 - 1Leixoes
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arley (76')
Zag (45'), Ferreira (52')
Zag (45'), Ferreira (52')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Arouca and Leixoes.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Feirense
Friday, November 18 at 6pm in Taca da Liga
Friday, November 18 at 6pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Leixoes 2-1 Santa Clara
Wednesday, November 23 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Wednesday, November 23 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 51.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Leixoes had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Leixoes win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Leixoes |
51.79% ( -0.12) | 24.73% ( -0.01) | 23.48% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 51.08% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.08% ( 0.16) | 50.91% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.21% ( 0.14) | 72.79% ( -0.14) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.35% ( 0.01) | 19.65% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.39% ( 0.02) | 51.61% ( -0.02) |
Leixoes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.56% ( 0.21) | 36.43% ( -0.21) |