MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 07:55:02| >> :60:822:822:
Casa Pia
Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals
Feb 9, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
 
Nacional

Casa Pia
2 - 5
Nacional

Pinto (53'), Martins (80')
Nunes (6'), Clayton (67'), Fernandes (90+5'), Varela (115'), Martins (118')
Nunes (17'), Fernandes (92')
FT
(aet)
Esteves (44', 46'), Danilovic (94' pen.), Gomes (105+3' pen.), Gustavo (108')
Witi (76'), Ramos (77'), Vieira (86'), Danilovic (90+8'), Clayton (100')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca de Portugal clash between Casa Pia and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Nacional

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Rabo Peixe
Wednesday, January 11 at 5.30pm in Taca de Portugal

We say: Casa Pia 2-0 Nacional

 Nacional's Taca de Portugal journey looks set to end at the quarter-final stage, with Casa Pia expected to flex their top-flight muscles and book their place in the last four with another clean-sheet victory in the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%).

Result
Casa PiaDrawNacional
43.29% (-0.236 -0.24) 28.26% (0.178 0.18) 28.45% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 45.07% (-0.453 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.3% (-0.582 -0.58)60.69% (0.578 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.23% (-0.442 -0.44)80.76% (0.438 0.44)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (-0.405 -0.41)27.83% (0.401 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (-0.518 -0.52)63.42% (0.514 0.51)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.46% (-0.275 -0.27)37.54% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.68% (-0.27 -0.27)74.32% (0.267 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 43.29%
    Nacional 28.44%
    Draw 28.25%
Casa PiaDrawNacional
1-0 @ 13.36% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 43.29%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.44% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.065 -0.06)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.25%
0-1 @ 10.23% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.01% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 28.44%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Nacional

Casa Pia
79.3%
Draw
12.1%
Nacional
8.6%
58
rhs 2.0
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