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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 16, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Casa Pia

Estoril
2 - 0
Casa Pia

Geraldes (32' pen.), Gouveia (77')
Mexer (46')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Varela (31'), Brice Eteki (41'), Soares (64'), Cuca (72'), Martins (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 2-0 Estoril
Saturday, January 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Setubal 0-1 Casa Pia
Thursday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Casa Pia

Fresh off the back of an impressive cup display, Casa Pia will head into Monday with sky-high confidence as they look to move into the European qualification places. The visitors take on an out-of-sorts Estoril Praia side and we are tipping them to come away with another close victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawCasa Pia
23.3% (-0.187 -0.19) 25.58% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 51.11% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.36% (-0.462 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.6% (-0.503 -0.5)54.4% (0.503 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.22% (-0.422 -0.42)75.77% (0.42099999999999 0.42)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.46% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)38.54% (0.456 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.71% (-0.439 -0.44)75.29% (0.437 0.44)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68% (-0.166 -0.17)21.31% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74% (-0.257 -0.26)54.26% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 23.3%
    Casa Pia 51.1%
    Draw 25.58%
Estoril PraiaDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 7.83% (0.056 0.06)
2-1 @ 5.77% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-0 @ 3.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.83% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 23.3%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 12.69% (0.18 0.18)
0-2 @ 9.81% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.06% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.82% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.95% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 51.1%

How you voted: Estoril vs Casa Pia

Estoril Praia
11.1%
Draw
18.5%
Casa Pia
70.4%
27
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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