Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 11.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.49%) and 0-3 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Porto |
11.17% ( -0.97) | 20.44% ( -0.93) | 68.38% ( 1.9) |
Both teams to score 39.59% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.8% ( 1.32) | 53.2% ( -1.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.23% ( 1.11) | 74.76% ( -1.11) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.36% ( -0.93) | 53.63% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.95% ( -0.59) | 87.04% ( 0.58) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.38% ( 1.04) | 14.61% ( -1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.28% ( 1.97) | 42.71% ( -1.97) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.17) Other @ 1.84% Total : 11.17% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.44% | 0-1 @ 15.07% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 14.49% ( 0.31) 0-3 @ 9.29% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 4.47% ( 0.4) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.72% ( 0.21) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.85% Total : 68.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |