MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 12:18:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Jan 7, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Porto

Casa Pia
0 - 0
Porto


Soares (33'), Batista (74')
Soares (45+1')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Casa Pia
Wednesday, December 28 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 5-1 Arouca
Wednesday, December 28 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 1-3 Porto

While Casa Pia have put together a fine run of form in the league, next up is the stern challenge of taking on a rampant Porto side who are currently firing on all cylinders. Given the gulf in quality between the two sides, we are backing Conceicao's side to claim a comfortable win on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 11.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.49%) and 0-3 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Casa PiaDrawPorto
11.17% (-0.971 -0.97) 20.44% (-0.933 -0.93) 68.38% (1.901 1.9)
Both teams to score 39.59% (-0.299 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.8% (1.317 1.32)53.2% (-1.319 -1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.23% (1.105 1.11)74.76% (-1.108 -1.11)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.36% (-0.929 -0.93)53.63% (0.92599999999999 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.95% (-0.586 -0.59)87.04% (0.58499999999999 0.58)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (1.041 1.04)14.61% (-1.045 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.28% (1.972 1.97)42.71% (-1.973 -1.97)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 11.17%
    Porto 68.37%
    Draw 20.44%
Casa PiaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 4.88% (-0.403 -0.4)
2-1 @ 2.93% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-0 @ 1.52% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 11.17%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.415 -0.41)
2-2 @ 2.81% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 20.44%
0-1 @ 15.07% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-2 @ 14.49% (0.31 0.31)
0-3 @ 9.29% (0.525 0.52)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.79% (0.174 0.17)
0-4 @ 4.47% (0.404 0.4)
1-4 @ 2.78% (0.181 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.72% (0.211 0.21)
1-5 @ 1.07% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 68.37%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Porto

Casa Pia
3.1%
Draw
6.3%
Porto
90.6%
32
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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