Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 11.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.49%) and 0-3 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Porto |
11.17% ( -0.97) | 20.44% ( -0.93) | 68.38% ( 1.9) |
Both teams to score 39.59% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.8% ( 1.32) | 53.2% ( -1.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.23% ( 1.11) | 74.76% ( -1.11) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.36% ( -0.93) | 53.63% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.95% ( -0.59) | 87.04% ( 0.58) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.38% ( 1.04) | 14.61% ( -1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.28% ( 1.97) | 42.71% ( -1.97) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.17) Other @ 1.84% Total : 11.17% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.44% | 0-1 @ 15.07% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 14.49% ( 0.31) 0-3 @ 9.29% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 4.47% ( 0.4) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.72% ( 0.21) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.85% Total : 68.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |