MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 03:00:44| >> :600:5382495:5382495:
Estoril
Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 26, 2023 at 5pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Mafra

Estoril
2 - 1
Mafra

Tavares (51'), Cassiano (82')
Marques (25'), Araujo (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Almeida (28')
Balbudia (72')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Estoril Praia and Mafra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 4-0 Casa Pia
Friday, November 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Mafra 3-1 Feirense
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Mafra had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Mafra win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Estoril Praia in this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawMafra
45.31% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 24.52% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 30.17% (0.011999999999997 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)45.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.41% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.59% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.92% (0.0010000000000048 0)20.08% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.69% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)52.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Mafra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.82% (0.010999999999996 0.01)28.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12% (0.012999999999998 0.01)63.88% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 45.31%
    Mafra 30.17%
    Draw 24.51%
Estoril PraiaDrawMafra
2-1 @ 9.24%
1-0 @ 9.09% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.57%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 45.31%
1-1 @ 11.5%
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 7.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.17%
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.17%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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