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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Estoril

Guimaraes
3 - 2
Estoril

Silva (56'), Mendes (69'), Safira (90+3' pen.)
Mendes (28'), Silva (53'), Silva (54'), Silva (70')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Araujo (12'), Gomes (20')
Feltes (11'), Fernandes (53'), Carlos (87'), Vital (90+9')
Holsgrove (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Leixoes 1-2 Estoril
Wednesday, September 27 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 0-1 Estoril Praia

Buoyed by their midweek cup victory, Estoril Praia will head into Sunday's games with renewed confidence as they look to pull clear of the bottom of the table. After a solid start to the campaign, Vitoria de Guimaraes appear to have run out of steam and we fancy the visitors scraping a narrow victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawEstoril Praia
51.77% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07) 25.4% (0.0040000000000013 0) 22.84% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 48.38% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.89% (0.042000000000002 0.04)54.1% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.47% (0.035 0.04)75.53% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)20.92% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.35% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)53.64% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.18% (0.088999999999999 0.09)38.82% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.45% (0.085000000000001 0.09)75.55% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 51.76%
    Estoril Praia 22.84%
    Draw 25.39%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 12.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.94% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 51.76%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.69% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.79% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 22.84%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Estoril

Vitoria de Guimaraes
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Estoril Praia
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 8.30pm
Aug 14, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Guimaraes
1-0
Estoril
Silva (16')
Silva (34'), Silva (41'), Almeida (71')

Joaozinho (14'), Arthur (39'), Esteves (43'), Lea Siliki (87')
Esteves (60')
Jan 23, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 19
Guimaraes
3-1
Estoril
Rochinha (61'), Estupinan (69', 90+3')
Borevkovic (43'), Soares (63'), Trmal (79'), Duarte (90+2')
Franco (29')
Ferraresi (25'), Thiago (53'), Gamboa (59')
Aug 13, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 2
Estoril
0-0
Guimaraes
Africo (1'), Crespo (90+4')
Semedo (40'), Silva (79'), Rochinha (90+2')
Semedo (56')
Jan 21, 2018 8.15pm
Guimaraes
3-1
Estoril
Hurtado (20'), Raphinha (48'), Heldon (93')
N'Clomande (27'), Wakaso (45'), Henrique (70'), Heldon (71')
Claro (45')
Fonseca (71'), Rodrigues (76')
Abner (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon19152253143947
2Benfica19132443142941
3Porto19132442152741
4Braga19114434191537
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1910272120132
6Casa Pia198652523230
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes196852825326
8Estoril PraiaEstoril196672230-824
9MoreirenseMoreirense196582226-423
10Rio AveRio Ave196582032-1223
11Gil Vicente195772228-622
12FamalicaoFamalicao194962024-421
13Nacional1954101626-1019
14AroucaArouca1954101630-1419
15AVS193971527-1218
16Estrela Amadora1945101630-1417
17SC FarenseFarense1936101225-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1926111332-1912


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