Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Estoril Praia |
51.77% ( -0.07) | 25.4% ( 0) | 22.84% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 48.38% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.89% ( 0.04) | 54.1% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.47% ( 0.04) | 75.53% ( -0.04) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.08% ( -0.01) | 20.92% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.35% ( -0.02) | 53.64% ( 0.02) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.18% ( 0.09) | 38.82% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.45% ( 0.09) | 75.55% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 12.7% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 51.76% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.48% Total : 22.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
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