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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
Estoril

Portimonense
1 - 0
Estoril

Pedrao (31')
Carlinhos (21'), Varela (33'), Relvas (36'), Dener (58'), Silvestre (70'), Tornich (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tavares (7'), Carlos (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Covilha 1-4 Portimonense
Friday, October 20 at 7pm in Taca de Portugal

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sintrense 0-5 Estoril
Sunday, October 22 at 11am in Taca de Portugal

We said: Portimonense 2-1 Estoril Praia

 Neither team can boast impressive performances in the Primeira Liga this season, but Portimonense enter this match as favourites with home field advantage on their side. The 5-0 away win in the Taca de Portugal may have given Estoril confidence, but their away record this season suggests it will be very difficult to pick up at least a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawEstoril Praia
27.76% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 24.66% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 47.57% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.3% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.72% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)47.28% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)69.51% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.07% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)30.93% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.77% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)67.23% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)19.94% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)52.09% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 27.76%
    Estoril Praia 47.57%
    Draw 24.66%
PortimonenseDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 7.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 6.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 27.76%
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.66%
0-1 @ 9.94% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 8.02% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 47.57%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Estoril

Portimonense
100%
Draw
0.0%
Estoril Praia
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 28
Estoril
0-1
Portimonense
Cariello (79')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 11
Portimonense
1-1
Estoril
Junior (88' pen.)
Erison (22')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 26
Estoril
2-0
Portimonense
Mboula (29'), Geraldes (46')
Ferraresi (57'), Franco (84'), Rosier (90+3')

Da Costa (36'), Sa (55'), Junior (90')
> Preview
Oct 24, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 9
Portimonense
0-2
Estoril

Junior (62')
Franco (59'), Lourenco (72')
Soria (68'), Gamboa (84'), Lourenco (85')
> Preview
Apr 14, 2018 4pm
Portimonense
0-1
Estoril

Sa (84')
Halliche (42')
Ribeiro (77'), Dankler (95'), Fonseca (97')
Andrade (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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