Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 7, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
0 - 1
Benfica

Cassiano (41'), Tavares (62'), Fernandes (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Silva (90+3')
Chiquinho (49'), Silva (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 3-2 Estoril
Sunday, October 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Benfica
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Estoril Praia 1-4 Benfica

Benfica have been ruthless in the league since losing to Boavista on the opening day and should have too much for their hosts here. Estoril have been in fine goalscoring form all season but simply concede too many goals, and Benfica will expect to take advantage of that in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Benfica
18.66% ( -0.01)	21.89% ( -0.01)	59.45% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 53.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.13% (

0.01)

44.87% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.78% (

0.01)

67.22% (

-0.01)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.16% (

-0.01)

37.84% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.38% (

-0.01)

74.61% (

0.01)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.29% (

0.01)

14.71% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.09% (

0.02)

42.9% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 18.66%

Benfica 59.44%

Draw 21.88%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 5.41% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.04% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.39% Total : 18.66%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.88%	0-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.35% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.13% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.08% 1-4 @ 3.04% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.2% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 59.44%