Taca de Portugal | Round of 16
Jan 11, 2023 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Porto4 - 0Arouca
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Round of 16 clash between Porto and Arouca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Porto
Saturday, January 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 2-0 Estoril
Saturday, January 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
17
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 8.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.72%) and 3-0 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Arouca |
75.2% ( 0.03) | 15.84% ( -0.07) | 8.96% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.94% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
