Taca da Liga | Group Stage

Dec 16, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

Estádio de São Miguel

Santa Clara
1 - 2
Arouca

Babi (56')
Bicalho (11'), Babi (36'), Adriano (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Opoku (30'), Dabbagh (87')
Opoku (24'), Simao (50'), Dabbagh (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Santa Clara and Arouca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Feirense 4-3 Santa Clara
Thursday, December 8 at 4.30pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Arouca

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: UD Oliveirense 0-3 Arouca
Saturday, December 10 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Arouca
41.5% ( 0.05)	26.52% ( 0.01)	31.98% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 51.66% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.93% (

-0.06)

53.07% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.34% (

-0.05)

74.66% (

0.05)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.75% (

-0)

25.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40% (

-0)

60%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.11% (

-0.07)

30.89% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.82% (

-0.08)

67.18% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 41.49%

Arouca 31.98%

Draw 26.52%

Santa Clara	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 41.49%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 9.16% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.98%