Taca da Liga | Quarter-Finals
Dec 22, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas
Moreirense1 - 2Arouca
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Quarter-Finals clash between Moreirense and Arouca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Benfica
Saturday, December 17 at 7pm in Taca da Liga
Saturday, December 17 at 7pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-2 Arouca
Friday, December 16 at 6.30pm in Taca da Liga
Friday, December 16 at 6.30pm in Taca da Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Arouca |
35.39% ( 0.86) | 26.79% ( 0.11) | 37.81% ( -0.97) |
Both teams to score 51.53% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.43% ( -0.34) | 53.57% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.92% ( -0.29) | 75.07% ( 0.29) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.07% ( 0.37) | 28.93% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.19% ( 0.46) | 64.81% ( -0.46) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.51% ( -0.7) | 27.48% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.01% ( -0.92) | 62.98% ( 0.92) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense 35.39%
Arouca 37.8%
Draw 26.79%
Moreirense | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.39% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.8% |
How you voted: 1st ranked Group C vs 1st Group G
1st ranked Group C
54.5%Draw
45.5%1st Group G
0.0%11
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-02 18:02:24
Tuesday, July 2
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
England
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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