MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 16:23:09| >> :600:1605348:1605348:
Moreirense
Taca da Liga | Quarter-Finals
Dec 22, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas
Arouca

Moreirense
1 - 2
Arouca

Luis (44' pen.)
Rocha (77'), Gomes (90'), Gomes (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Esgaio (70'), Mujica (79')
Ruiz (45+1'), Sylla (76')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Quarter-Finals clash between Moreirense and Arouca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions
Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Benfica
Saturday, December 17 at 7pm in Taca da Liga

Arouca

All competitions
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-2 Arouca
Friday, December 16 at 6.30pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
MoreirenseDrawArouca
35.39% (0.864 0.86) 26.79% (0.105 0.11) 37.81% (-0.968 -0.97)
Both teams to score 51.53% (-0.227 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.43% (-0.337 -0.34)53.57% (0.34 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.92% (-0.286 -0.29)75.07% (0.288 0.29)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (0.37299999999999 0.37)28.93% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.19% (0.459 0.46)64.81% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (-0.705 -0.7)27.48% (0.705 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01% (-0.91999999999999 -0.92)62.98% (0.922 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 35.39%
    Arouca 37.8%
    Draw 26.79%
MoreirenseDrawArouca
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.12% (0.204 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.27% (0.079 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.11 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.39%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.95% (0.105 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 10.26% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.178 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 37.8%

How you voted: 1st ranked Group C vs 1st Group G

1st ranked Group C
54.5%
Draw
45.5%
1st Group G
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 8.30pm
Arouca
1-1
Moreirense
Bruninho (79')
Kouassi (67'), Bruninho (86'), Nunes (90+4')
Yan (44')
Paulinho (45+2'), Pacheco (56')
Pacheco (65')
Sep 25, 2021 3.30pm
Moreirense
2-1
Arouca
Silva (29'), Luis (64')
Silva (25'), Vitoria (61'), Lacerda (74'), Pires (78'), Kewin (90+3')
Silva (82')
Ba (15'), Kouassi (90+3')
Apr 30, 2017 4pm
Arouca
2-2
Moreirense
Tomane (30'), Crivellaro (45')
Luis (16')
Boateng (46', 58')
Drame (32'), Ivo (89')
Dec 17, 2016 6.15pm
Moreirense
1-4
Arouca
Boateng (47')
Drame (9'), Sagna (69')
Jorginho (7', 52', 83'), Mateus (30')
Crivellaro (17'), Gonzalez (47'), Velasquez (92')
Jan 17, 2016 4pm
Arouca
1-2
Moreirense
Simao (16' pen.)
Simao (37'), Maurides (69')
Cuelho (93')
Sagna (24'), Gomes (94' pen.)
Martins (77')
rhs 2.0
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