Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 2, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Sporting Lisbon1 - 2Porto
We said: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Porto
Wednesday's game sees two of the "Big Three" in the Portuguese division lock horns once again and this makes for a nerve-racking and exciting watch. With both sides involved in disappointing draws at the weekend, we expect them to take the game to each other as they seek to quickly return to winning ways. With four of their last five meetings ending in draws, we are predicting a repeat of the same, with both sides settling for a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Porto |
| 35.96% | 24.59% | 39.45% |
| Both teams to score 59.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
