Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 11, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Porto2 - 2Sporting Lisbon
We said: Porto 2-2 Sporting Lisbon
Friday's game sees two of the biggest sides in the Primeira Liga go toe to toe and we expect another thrilling contest at the Estadio do Dragao. Both sides boast a fine crop of world class talent and despite their fine defensive record this term, we expect plenty of goalmouth action. We predict the spoils will be shared in this one with both sides settling for a point a piece. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 44.35% | 24.65% | 30.99% |
| Both teams to score 57.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
