MX23RW : Friday, October 4 04:35:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 14
Dec 5, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion Yuro Gagarin

Desna
3 - 3
Mariupol

Arveladze (51'), Yurchenko (57'), Voloshyn (80')
Kalitvintsev (45'), Dombrovskyi (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kashchuk (29', 48' pen., 90+1')
Myshnyov (16'), Chekh (37')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Mariupol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Mariupol win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Desna ChernihivDrawMariupol
50.26%25.64%24.1%
Both teams to score 49.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06%53.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61%75.38%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51%21.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47%54.53%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.45%37.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.67%74.32%
Score Analysis
    Desna Chernihiv 50.26%
    Mariupol 24.1%
    Draw 25.64%
Desna ChernihivDrawMariupol
1-0 @ 12.4%
2-0 @ 9.54%
2-1 @ 9.34%
3-0 @ 4.89%
3-1 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-0 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 50.26%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 8.07%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 7.9%
1-2 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 3.87%
1-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.49%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 24.1%

Head to Head
Aug 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Mariupol
1-2
Desna
Kulakov (65')
Kashchuk (28'), Chobotenko (78'), P. Mikitishin (89')
Kashchuk (35')
Budkivskyi (71'), Bezborodko (90+2')
Kalitvintsev (49'), Safronov (64'), Selin (69')
May 9, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 26
Mariupol
4-1
Desna
Ocheretko (61'), Sikan (63', 79'), Bondarenko (86')
Muravskyi (37'), Bondarenko (83')
Konoplia (44')
Hutsuliak (56'), Dombrovskyi (58'), Sukhotskiy (69')
Dombrovskyi (62')
Dec 13, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Desna
2-0
Mariupol
Kartushov (50'), Khlyobas (56')
Dombrovskyi (77'), Kartushov (90+3')

Chobotenko (76'), Bondarenko (79'), Chekh (84')
Feb 29, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 20
Desna
4-0
Mariupol
Totovytsky (12', 21'), Filippov (58' pen.), Kalitvintsev (90')

Chobotenko (6'), Dawa (19'), Ihnatenko (53'), Muravskyi (57')
Sep 29, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 9
Mariupol
0-4
Desna
Khlyobas (20', 67'), Filippov (21', 81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Falcons
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dynamo Kiev76101431119
2FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya7610135819
3Polissya ZhytomyrPolissya75201651117
4Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar74121981113
5Rukh Lviv73311331012
6LNZ CherkasyCherkasy833298112
7Zorya LuhanskLuhansk840489-112
8Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi732266011
9Vorskla PoltavaVorskla8233812-49
10Karpaty LvivKarpaty82241014-48
11Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka814357-27
12Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets821549-57
13Veres8134712-56
14Livyi Bereh8206412-86
15Obolon KyivObolon8125419-155
16Inhulets8044614-84


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!