Mariupol

1 - 2

Metalist Kharkiv

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 57.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 19.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Mariupol win it was 1-0 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metalist Kharkiv would win this match.