Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.