Luhansk

0 - 1

Mariupol

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Mariupol win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.