MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 18:45:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Jun 9, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Cerro
3 - 0
Nacional

Ramirez (14'), Petillo Mediza (84'), Gonzalez (88')
Berrios (76')
Abero (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Santander (65'), Izquierdo (67'), Castro (69')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 0-3 Cerro
Monday, June 3 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 1-3 Nacional
Tuesday, June 4 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 53.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 20.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
CerroDrawNacional
20.61% (-0.254 -0.25) 26.28% (0.175 0.18) 53.1% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 43.33% (-0.77 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.67% (-0.839 -0.84)59.32% (0.834 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.28% (-0.651 -0.65)79.72% (0.646 0.65)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.91% (-0.762 -0.76)44.09% (0.757 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.8% (-0.63 -0.63)80.19% (0.625 0.63)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (-0.321 -0.32)22.5% (0.315 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.94% (-0.479 -0.48)56.06% (0.474 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Cerro 20.61%
    Nacional 53.09%
    Draw 26.27%
CerroDrawNacional
1-0 @ 8.12% (0.086 0.09)
2-1 @ 4.96% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-0 @ 3.33% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.36% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.01% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 0.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 20.61%
1-1 @ 12.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.92% (0.308 0.31)
2-2 @ 3.7% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 14.79% (0.32 0.32)
0-2 @ 11.03% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-3 @ 5.49% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.49% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-4 @ 2.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.68% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 53.09%

How you voted: Cerro vs Nacional

Cerro
0.0%
Draw
20.0%
Nacional
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 10
Cerro
1-2
Nacional
Macelli (61')
Abero (36'), Rodriguez (90+6')
Carneiro (40' pen.), Oliva (70')
Antoni (60'), Oliva (75')
Oct 15, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 5
Nacional
2-1
Cerro
Rodriguez (17'), Gigliotti (70')
Lozano (10'), Martinez (33')
Rodriguez (12')
Rodriguez (25'), Coronel (31'), Tizon (43'), Abero (51'), Fernandez (67')
Jun 3, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro
1-1
Nacional
Nandin (1')
Perez (45+1'), Denis (83'), Souza (90+3')
Pereiro (79')
Rodriguez (18'), Pereiro (79')
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
Cerro
2-2
Nacional
Rodriguez (19'), Abero (67')
Trezza (11'), Pereiro (70')
Feb 27, 2021 10.30pm
Gameweek 10
Cerro
0-1
Nacional

Garcia (43'), Cabrera (71'), Bentaberry (75')
Bergessio (51')
Martinez (20'), Trezza (32'), Mendez (48'), Rochet (75'), Ocampo (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Rams
@
Bears
6pm
Eagles
@
Buccaneers
6pm
Steelers
@
Colts
6pm
Saints
@
Falcons
6pm
Broncos
@
Jets
6pm
Vikings
@
Packers
6pm
Bengals
@
Panthers
6pm
Jags
@
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1DanubioDanubio541092713
2PenarolPenarol43101111010
3Montevideo WanderersWanderers531175210
4Rampla JuniorsRampla531165110
5Boston RiverBoston River43016339
6NacionalNacional42207438
7Racing de MontevideoRacing42114317
8River PlateRiver Plate5212912-37
9Miramar Misiones51313306
10LiverpoolLiverpool411223-14
11Cerro Largo511346-24
12FenixFenix511347-34
13CerroCerro5113310-74
14Defensor SportingDefensor402246-22
15ProgresoProgreso401304-41
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado400416-50
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!