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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Oct 8, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Cerro
1 - 0
River Plate

Rodriguez (34')
Ramirez (88'), Lacoste (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maldonado 2-1 Cerro
Monday, September 4 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Racing
Sunday, September 3 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
CerroDrawRiver Plate
30.38% (-1.598 -1.6) 29.15% (-0.483 -0.48) 40.46% (2.077 2.08)
Both teams to score 43.56% (0.8 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37% (1.199 1.2)63% (-1.206 -1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.53% (0.858 0.86)82.46% (-0.863 -0.86)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.72% (-0.544 -0.54)37.28% (0.539 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.93% (-0.54 -0.54)74.06% (0.535 0.53)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46% (1.861 1.86)30.54% (-1.867 -1.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23% (2.155 2.16)66.76% (-2.161 -2.16)
Score Analysis
    Cerro 30.38%
    River Plate 40.45%
    Draw 29.15%
CerroDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 11.23% (-0.69 -0.69)
2-1 @ 6.57% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.426 -0.43)
3-1 @ 2.16% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.28% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 30.38%
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 11.38% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.15%
0-1 @ 13.5% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.45 0.45)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.334 0.33)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.328 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.13% (0.282 0.28)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.119 0.12)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.139 0.14)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 40.45%

How you voted: Cerro vs River Plate

Cerro
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
River Plate
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 4
River Plate
3-2
Cerro
Castro (23'), Rivero (27'), Alfonso (90+4')
Rodriguez (17'), Magallanes (90+2')
Jan 20, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 2
River Plate
1-2
Cerro
Gonzalez (28')
Quintana (35'), Arezo (54'), Olivera (90')
Cabrera (45+2'), Tancredi (56')
Gonzalez (16')
Feb 22, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 2
Cerro
0-0
River Plate
Paiva (32'), Brasil (66')
Gonzalez (86')
Ospitaleche (68'), Rodriguez (79'), Herrera (83'), Fernandez (84')
Oct 16, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 12
Cerro
3-2
River Plate
Viera (15'), Lopez (45' pen.), Acosta (79')
Gonzalez (33'), Lopez (65'), Nunez (74')
Gonzalez (48')
Rodriguez (26'), Alonso (50' pen.)
Mar 24, 2019 7pm
River Plate
2-1
Cerro
Plada (49'), Urruti (80')
Alonso (11'), Ospitaleche (35'), Ale (57')
Peraza (55')
Pellejero (11'), Brasil (16'), Alonso (58'), Roldan (74'), Tancredi (76'), Izquierdo (93')
Pellejero (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1NacionalNacional13102134102432
2PenarolPenarol1310212432132
3Boston RiverBoston River138231710726
4DanubioDanubio13661134924
5Racing de MontevideoRacing13562129321
6Defensor SportingDefensor135441714319
7Miramar Misiones134631113-218
8Cerro Largo134451010016
9River PlateRiver Plate134361418-415
10Rampla JuniorsRampla134361117-615
11FenixFenix134271223-1114
12Montevideo WanderersWanderers133461219-713
13LiverpoolLiverpool132651115-412
14CerroCerro13265816-812
15ProgresoProgreso13157717-108
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado130310722-153
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


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