Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Sep 4, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
Maldonado2 - 1Cerro
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Cerro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Maldonado
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Cerro 1-2 Boston River
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
21
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 35.91%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.12%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Cerro win was 0-1 (12.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo Maldonado would win this match.
Result | ||
Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Cerro |
35.91% ( 0.65) | 30.22% ( 0) | 33.87% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 41.53% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.19% ( -0.03) | 65.8% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.55% ( -0.02) | 84.45% ( 0.02) |
Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.15% ( 0.42) | 34.85% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.42% ( 0.44) | 71.58% ( -0.44) |
Cerro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.75% ( -0.48) | 36.25% ( 0.48) |