Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.