MX23RW : Friday, January 24 11:18:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 13, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
2 - 4
Barry

Owen (2'), Evans (90+1')
Hartley (75'), Thorn (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Snaith (46'), Tomlinson (48'), McLaggon (75'), Hulbert (80')
Lewis (1'), Blythe (56'), Davies (61')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Barry Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-0 Colwyn Bay
Friday, January 5 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 4-0 Newtown
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawBarry Town United
33.13% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 22.98% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 43.88% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 64.37% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.29% (0.307 0.31)36.71% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.13% (0.335 0.34)58.87% (-0.337 -0.34)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (0.125 0.13)22.23% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.35% (0.19 0.19)55.65% (-0.192 -0.19)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (0.16199999999999 0.16)17.23% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.46% (0.287 0.29)47.53% (-0.288 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 33.13%
    Barry Town United 43.88%
    Draw 22.98%
Aberystwyth TownDrawBarry Town United
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.76% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.33% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 33.13%
1-1 @ 10.12% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.7% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.83% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.97% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.92% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.22% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.93% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.29% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.73% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 43.88%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Barry
0-1
Aberystwyth

Hulbert (26'), Veale (64'), Blythe (69'), Cotterill (82')
Press (51')
Cadwallader (90+1')
Bradford (36')
Apr 18, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 9
Barry
0-1
Aberystwyth

Cotterill (41'), Green (42'), Abbruzzese (69')
Cotterill (88')
Davies (4')
Owen (43'), Veale (43')
Mar 25, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Aberystwyth
2-1
Barry
Owen (5'), Davies (79')
(51'), Veale (59'), Owen (82'), Rimmer (90+4')
Day (51')
Press (58'), Wharton (70')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Barry
1-1
Aberystwyth
McLaggon (65')
Abbruzzese (22'), Day (41')
Franklin (85')
Rimmer (11'), Davies (17'), Jones (38')
Aug 14, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Aberystwyth
2-1
Barry
Phillips (44'), Jones (90')
Jarvis (23')
Sainty (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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