MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 20:38:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 13, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
2 - 4
Barry

Owen (2'), Evans (90+1')
Hartley (75'), Thorn (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Snaith (46'), Tomlinson (48'), McLaggon (75'), Hulbert (80')
Lewis (1'), Blythe (56'), Davies (61')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Barry Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-0 Colwyn Bay
Friday, January 5 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Barry Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 4-0 Newtown
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawBarry Town United
33.13% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 22.98% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 43.88% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 64.37% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.29% (0.307 0.31)36.71% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.13% (0.335 0.34)58.87% (-0.337 -0.34)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (0.125 0.13)22.23% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.35% (0.19 0.19)55.65% (-0.192 -0.19)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (0.16199999999999 0.16)17.23% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.46% (0.287 0.29)47.53% (-0.288 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 33.13%
    Barry Town United 43.88%
    Draw 22.98%
Aberystwyth TownDrawBarry Town United
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.76% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.33% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 33.13%
1-1 @ 10.12% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.7% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.83% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.97% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.92% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.22% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.93% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.29% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.73% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 43.88%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Barry
0-1
Aberystwyth

Hulbert (26'), Veale (64'), Blythe (69'), Cotterill (82')
Press (51')
Cadwallader (90+1')
Bradford (36')
Apr 18, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 9
Barry
0-1
Aberystwyth

Cotterill (41'), Green (42'), Abbruzzese (69')
Cotterill (88')
Davies (4')
Owen (43'), Veale (43')
Mar 25, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Aberystwyth
2-1
Barry
Owen (5'), Davies (79')
(51'), Veale (59'), Owen (82'), Rimmer (90+4')
Day (51')
Press (58'), Wharton (70')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Barry
1-1
Aberystwyth
McLaggon (65')
Abbruzzese (22'), Day (41')
Franklin (85')
Rimmer (11'), Davies (17'), Jones (38')
Aug 14, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Aberystwyth
2-1
Barry
Phillips (44'), Jones (90')
Jarvis (23')
Sainty (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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