MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 19:06:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
4 - 2
Aberystwyth

Evans (40', 56'), Craven (79'), H (83')
Evans (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cadwallader (62'), Darlington (74')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-1 Cardiff MU
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-3 New Saints
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 68.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 13.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawAberystwyth Town
68.75% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11) 18.16% (0.112 0.11) 13.09%
Both teams to score 52.7% (-0.402 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.21% (-0.52699999999999 -0.53)38.79% (0.529 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.9% (-0.557 -0.56)61.1% (0.56 0.56)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.74% (-0.167 -0.17)10.26% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.39% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)33.61% (0.391 0.39)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.72% (-0.337 -0.34)41.28% (0.339 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.19% (-0.3 -0.3)77.81% (0.304 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 68.74%
    Aberystwyth Town 13.09%
    Draw 18.16%
Cardiff MUDrawAberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 10.97% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.64% (0.17 0.17)
3-0 @ 8.33% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.37% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.2% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.16% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.91% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 68.74%
1-1 @ 8.53% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.105 0.11)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.16%
1-2 @ 3.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 3.75% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.66% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 13.09%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Aberystwyth
0-1
Cardiff MU

Owen (56')
Evans (34')
Evans (70'), Evans (73'), Rees (83')
Evans (75')
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Cardiff MU
2-1
Aberystwyth
Rees (9', 28')
Darlington (81')
Aug 20, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 2
Aberystwyth
0-4
Cardiff MU
Jones (8', 29', 34'), Evans (70')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff MU
1-1
Aberystwyth
McCarthy (48')
Price (8'), Evans (31'), Roscrow (79')
Jenkins (8')
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Aberystwyth
0-2
Cardiff MU

Davies (32'), Franklin (81')
Lewis (72'), Evans (76')
McCarthy (82'), Chubb (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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