MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 11:50:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
1 - 1
Pen-y-Bont

McLaggon (25')
Lewis (20'), Bright (37'), Greening (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reffell (68')
Pennock (20'), Borge (25'), Harling (35'), Little (90+3')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barry Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-3 Barry
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 56.29%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 21.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 2-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawPen-y-Bont
21.69% (-3.881 -3.88) 22.01% (-1.11 -1.11) 56.29% (4.989 4.99)
Both teams to score 57.59% (-0.96 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (0.91999999999999 0.92)41.17% (-0.925 -0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.43% (0.932 0.93)63.56% (-0.934 -0.93)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.34% (-2.775 -2.78)32.65% (2.772 2.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.8% (-3.227 -3.23)69.2% (3.224 3.22)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.52% (2.013 2.01)14.48% (-2.017 -2.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.54% (3.76 3.76)42.46% (-3.764 -3.76)
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 21.69%
    Pen-y-Bont 56.29%
    Draw 22%
Barry Town UnitedDrawPen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 5.72% (-0.758 -0.76)
1-0 @ 5.29% (-0.662 -0.66)
2-0 @ 2.96% (-0.635 -0.64)
3-1 @ 2.14% (-0.475 -0.48)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.288 -0.29)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.343 -0.34)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 21.69%
1-1 @ 10.22% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.309 -0.31)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.201 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22%
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.212 0.21)
0-1 @ 9.14% (0.254 0.25)
0-2 @ 8.83% (0.824 0.82)
1-3 @ 6.36% (0.557 0.56)
0-3 @ 5.69% (0.879 0.88)
2-3 @ 3.56% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.08% (0.459 0.46)
0-4 @ 2.75% (0.581 0.58)
2-4 @ 1.72% (0.141 0.14)
1-5 @ 1.19% (0.245 0.25)
0-5 @ 1.06% (0.281 0.28)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 56.29%

Head to Head
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Pen-y-Bont
1-0
Barry
Venables (20')
Kircough (90'), Venables (90+4'), Venables (90+4')

Davies (16'), George (63')
Feb 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Barry
0-0
Pen-y-Bont
Cotterill (16'), McLaggon (88'), Abbruzzese (90')
MacDonald (13'), Wood (35'), Borge (87')
Feb 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Pen-y-Bont
4-0
Barry
Wood (43' pen.), Jefferies (48'), Davies (77'), Clutton (89')
Whitmore (20'), Watts (51'), Harling (51'), Clutton (64')

Green (29'), Press (51'), Jones (77')
Apr 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Pen-y-Bont
2-0
Barry
Wood (7'), Owen (70')
Davies (49')

Abbruzzese (72')
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Barry
3-3
Pen-y-Bont
Bird (10'), McLaggon (25'), Cotterill (42')
Cummings (42'), McLaggon (45'), Kavanagh (67')
Ahmun (40', 72'), Harris (56')
Yakubu (27'), Harris (28'), Jefferies (39'), Davies (67')
Jefferies (57')
rhs 2.0
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