MX23RW : Monday, August 26 09:49:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Jan 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
1 - 0
Colwyn Bay

Walsh (46')
Thorn (45+4')
Cadwallader (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Creamer (22')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Colwyn Bay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, December 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Colwyn Bay
Sunday, December 31 at 12.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.45%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawColwyn Bay
30.79% (-1.314 -1.31) 22.33% (0.193 0.19) 46.88% (1.114 1.11)
Both teams to score 65.68% (-1.484 -1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.48% (-1.65 -1.65)34.51% (1.643 1.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.55% (-1.878 -1.88)56.45% (1.872 1.87)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51% (-1.535 -1.54)22.49% (1.529 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96% (-2.34 -2.34)56.04% (2.335 2.33)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.74% (-0.236 -0.24)15.26% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.05% (-0.444 -0.44)43.95% (0.437 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 30.79%
    Colwyn Bay 46.88%
    Draw 22.33%
Aberystwyth TownDrawColwyn Bay
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-0 @ 5.12% (0.199 0.2)
2-0 @ 3.82% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 30.79%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.298 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.75% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-0 @ 3.43% (0.282 0.28)
3-3 @ 2.1% (-0.169 -0.17)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.33%
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.209 0.21)
0-1 @ 6.45% (0.482 0.48)
0-2 @ 6.06% (0.408 0.41)
1-3 @ 5.67% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 4.23% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.8% (0.227 0.23)
1-4 @ 2.67% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.99% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.79% (0.093 0.09)
1-5 @ 1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-4 @ 0.99% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 46.88%

How you voted: Aberystwyth vs Colwyn Bay

Aberystwyth Town
25.0%
Draw
41.7%
Colwyn Bay
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Colwyn Bay
3-1
Aberystwyth
Creamer (13'), Jones (27'), Akpan (49')
Akpan (71'), Rushton (83')
Lewis (45+1')
Thorn (81')
rhs 2.0
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