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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Jan 6, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Jenner Park
Newtown logo

Barry
4 - 0
Newtown

Blythe (19', 42'), Snaith (59'), Hulbert (71')
Patten (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mills-Evans (50'), Smith (58'), Robles (81')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barry Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 0-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, December 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Bala Town 2-1 Newtown
Saturday, December 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawNewtown AFC
39.88% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07) 24.06% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 36.06% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 61.12% (-0.298 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (-0.388 -0.39)41.27% (0.392 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33% (-0.394 -0.39)63.67% (0.401 0.4)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.14% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)20.86% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.44% (-0.319 -0.32)53.56% (0.325 0.33)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23% (-0.175 -0.17)22.77% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.54% (-0.265 -0.27)56.46% (0.27 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 39.88%
    Newtown AFC 36.06%
    Draw 24.05%
Barry Town UnitedDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.44% (0.085 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.83% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 39.88%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.084 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.05%
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.03% (0.088 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.2% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 36.06%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Newtown
2-0
Barry
Williams (1', 76')
Hughes (7'), Robles (68'), Sutton (69'), Sears (85')

McDonald (25'), Bright (43'), Press (82')
Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Newtown
2-1
Barry
Davies (59'), Hughes (62')
Mills-Evans (42'), Walker (55'), Hughes (61'), Roberts (90+2')
Cotterill (18')
Cotterill (30'), Patten (45+1'), Cummings (45+2'), McLaggon (77'), Green (90+4')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Barry
0-3
Newtown

Day (34'), Green (42'), Cotterill (90')
Williams (33' pen., 49', 66')
Roberts (40'), Mwandwe (76')
Nov 21, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Barry
0-0
Newtown
McDonald (14'), Bowen (30'), Wharton (31'), Cooper (83')
Oct 10, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Newtown
1-1
Barry
Davies (66')
(25'), (41'), (43'), (90+5')
McLaggon (90+4')
George (23'), McLaggon (34'), Cooper (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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